Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs David Goffin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8f11e772473e7615771d18592a8a451f6676ba4c2d268c3dda47276c27bc1ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Goffinof Shelton, Goffin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Goffin | 62c | 6,644$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Goffin | 56c | 2,886$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.21 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Shelton | 43c | 1,646$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.84 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Goffin | 38c | 1,593$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.34 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Goffin | 63c | 1,427$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Shelton | 24c | 1,100$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Shelton | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Shelton | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Goffin | 26c | 999.9$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.93 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…bacfbacked Shelton | 74c | 934.2$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.08 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Shelton | 76c | 910$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.45 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shelton | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Shelton | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7f…90c5backed Goffin | 44c | 495.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.45 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…8a5abacked Shelton | 42c | 420.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Shelton | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Shelton | 72c | 278.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Shelton | 66c | 226.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Shelton | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Shelton | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Goffin | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Shelton | 41c | 197.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Shelton | 6c | 195.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Shelton | 58c | 194$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Shelton | 68c | 192.06$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Goffin | 27c | 179.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Goffin | 31c | 149.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.47 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Shelton | 44c | 149$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Shelton | 69c | 145.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Shelton | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Shelton | 42c | 142.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Shelton | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shelton | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Shelton | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Goffin | 63c | 113.36$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Goffin | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Shelton | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Shelton | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Goffin | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f1…958ebacked Shelton | 72c | 65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Goffin | 33c | 52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Goffin | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Goffin | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Goffin | 40c | 49.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Goffin | 58c | 48.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Shelton | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shelton | 37c | 33.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Shelton | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7be0backed Shelton | 74c | 26.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Shelton | 50c | 25.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Shelton | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…126ebacked Shelton | 75c | 18.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…cc0dbacked Shelton | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.