CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b550b3bb46ef071880834f00fdbc0da989adee788013f461eafc9bb0d344615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof 3DMAX, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked MOUZ | 74c | 55,668$41,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,425.28 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed 3DMAX | 25c | 41,261$10,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,463.85 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked MOUZ | 75c | 40,500$30,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,030 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX | 26c | 21,874$5,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,687.15 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked 3DMAX | 27c | 15,913$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.23 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed 3DMAX | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked 3DMAX | 25c | 14,192$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.24 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX | 8c | 6,507$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.01 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed 3DMAX | 26c | 4,677$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed MOUZ | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed 3DMAX | 25c | 3,393$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.25 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 3DMAX | 21c | 3,143$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ | 74c | 2,802$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.12 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked MOUZ | 74c | 1,976$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.76 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 21c | 1,507$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed MOUZ | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked MOUZ | 80c | 1,449$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.93 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 73c | 1,355$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.19 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 3DMAX | 11c | 1,250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,219$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.98 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 3DMAX | 27c | 1,206$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.39 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked MOUZ | 80c | 1,205$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.9 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked 3DMAX | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed MOUZ | 76c | 996.15$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.21 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked MOUZ | 73c | 941$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ | 76c | 921.05$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.05 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked 3DMAX | 22c | 902.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed 3DMAX | 13c | 789$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed 3DMAX | 19c | 776.98$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.63 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 27c | 699.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MOUZ | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c5…f4c5backed MOUZ | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked MOUZ | 73c | 518$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.86 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed MOUZ | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked MOUZ | 73c | 497.51$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked 3DMAX | 27c | 496$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…5ca3backed MOUZ | 76c | 457.05$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed 3DMAX | 25c | 455$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed 3DMAX | 25c | 399.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed MOUZ | 74c | 380.47$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 76c | 269$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed MOUZ | 77c | 260.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed MOUZ | 76c | 207.39$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed 3DMAX | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed 3DMAX | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed MOUZ | 72c | 168$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed 3DMAX | 11c | 165.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed 3DMAX | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked MOUZ | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed MOUZ | 67c | 134.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed MOUZ | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 110.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed 3DMAX | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed 3DMAX | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed MOUZ | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked MOUZ | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed MOUZ | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 78c | 50.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed MOUZ | 76c | 50.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed MOUZ | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed 3DMAX | 26c | 44.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4fd4backed MOUZ | 74c | 41.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed MOUZ | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed MOUZ | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed MOUZ | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…204ebacked MOUZ | 74c | 21.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked MOUZ | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed MOUZ | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.