Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs GX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6897bd58a5cd48a9ad140f4d77ef6af5d9cf24484bd4fc877f06c8b1bada3cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Hereticsof Team Heretics, GX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed GX | 30c | 4,020$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed GX | 33c | 3,237$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.52 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Heretics | 70c | 2,844$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.88 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed GX | 11c | 2,753$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.79 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team Heretics | 67c | 2,106$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GX | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Team Heretics | 70c | 1,371$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Heretics | 70c | 1,193$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked GX | 30c | 1,050$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.46 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Heretics | 70c | 816.61$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.83 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Team Heretics | 71c | 703.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.49 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed Team Heretics | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5add…f36fbacked GX | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Team Heretics | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Team Heretics | 70c | 284.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed GX | 12c | 284$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Team Heretics | 80c | 258.85$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked GX | 20c | 216.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Team Heretics | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed GX | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed GX | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Team Heretics | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…3e14backed GX | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Heretics | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed GX | 38c | 109.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Team Heretics | 51c | 92.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…f34cbacked Team Heretics | 62c | 85.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Heretics | 70c | 83.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 173 | 32.4%56 W · 117 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed GX | 28c | 53.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Heretics | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…fdeebacked GX | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Team Heretics | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8715backed Team Heretics | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Team Heretics | 73c | 25.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed Team Heretics | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.