CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs B8
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5a129cb88ab5ca6f43a3b0e62ab8226ec57f58050139d68a1d54c935ed0a348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of G2, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked B8 | 22c | 6,743$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,259.87 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked G2 | 78c | 6,177$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.39 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked B8 | 42c | 3,548$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.73 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed G2 | 75c | 2,630$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.58 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked G2 | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.9 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed B8 | 49c | 2,000$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.56 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed G2 | 51c | 1,760$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed B8 | 32c | 1,628$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.39 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked B8 | 20c | 1,001$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.81 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed B8 | 7c | 856$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.08 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed B8 | 20c | 850$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 | 80c | 794$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.2 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 29c | 741.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.75 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed B8 | 21c | 707$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.53 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed G2 | 79c | 707$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.53 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -20.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked G2 | 55c | 684.04$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.22 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked B8 | 49c | 642.24$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.84 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed B8 | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked G2 | 56c | 505.36$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked B8 | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed G2 | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed G2 | 76c | 394.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed B8 | 48c | 389.58$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.58 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked G2 | 56c | 356.13$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed G2 | 57c | 341.73$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed G2 | 55c | 271.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked G2 | 57c | 254.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed G2 | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed G2 | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed B8 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 692 | 53.6%371 W · 321 L | -23.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked G2 | 68c | 200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed B8 | 17c | 200$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2e90backed G2 | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked G2 | 78c | 173.32$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.19 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed G2 | 37c | 160$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked G2 | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed G2 | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked B8 | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked B8 | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked G2 | 46c | 85.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked G2 | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed B8 | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed B8 | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed G2 | 51c | 45.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked B8 | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked G2 | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed G2 | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.