TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. Petroski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rowstonof Rowston, Petroski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked Petroski64c62,020$39,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,572.614857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Petroski50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-79.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Rowston50c50,000$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,00029151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rowston36c33,799$12,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,631.3319544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfaa…2813backed Rowston36c20,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,799.993036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rowston37c11,220$4,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,068.635253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Petroski65c5,000$3,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,246.8716951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Petroski64c4,687$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.975356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rowston35c2,969$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.6233253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Petroski62c2,500$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5506746.3%31 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Petroski62c2,339$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.1442042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rowston38c2,092$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.11250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Rowston37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2604744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Petroski61c1,652$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.317752%92 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Rowston37c1,350$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.4826743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Rowston38c1,315$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.31877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+70.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x114f…42c6backed Petroski62c1,300$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Rowston37c1,071$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.1311140.5%45 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Rowston38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6320233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed Petroski63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Rowston40c999.99$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60522144.3%98 W · 123 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Rowston39c905.58$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.0218145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Rowston39c878.8$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.076944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Petroski63c875$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.717850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…8185backed Rowston38c862$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Rowston36c669.11$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.178939.3%35 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Rowston39c666.45$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0522342.2%94 W · 129 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Petroski63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Rowston35c550$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3571464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick37cpaid+104.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb790…8389backed Petroski61c549.99$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rowston37c520$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.613953.2%74 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rowston36c499$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.118038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Petroski58c394.81$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.228743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Petroski63c394.35$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rowston36c392.5$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.221044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc607…7958backed Petroski60c374.92$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rowston32c340$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.221247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Rowston38c319.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0951533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Petroski63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006937.7%26 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Rowston38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.166756.7%38 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Rowston36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010045%45 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41e0…a8e0backed Petroski63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.57052.9%37 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Petroski60c237$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.248749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Petroski22c235$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0511154.1%60 W · 51 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd14c…17bebacked Petroski63c230$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.913160.3%79 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Rowston38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1247451.4%38 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Rowston39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12225251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Petroski71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1424548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b5…e04fbacked Rowston37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Petroski61c180.77$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106462.5%40 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Petroski62c162$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4453956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Petroski63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011540.9%47 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Petroski63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc31a…174ebacked Rowston38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.899744.3%43 W · 54 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x431b…1d9cbacked Petroski64c156.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-43.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Petroski62c151.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.681662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd6…bc18backed Rowston39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.214856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Rowston42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.616058.8%94 W · 66 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Petroski50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Rowston50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5022334.1%76 W · 147 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Petroski63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6337754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Petroski64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rowston46c99.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8914827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Rowston53c94.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5132431.8%103 W · 221 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Petroski63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a6…644bbacked Petroski58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Rowston39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.714052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rowston35c67.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.512446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe795…e6debacked Petroski59c65.09$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.353540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Rowston38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.636243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Rowston40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3016736.5%61 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Rowston37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.552252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ad1…8c20backed Rowston44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Rowston42c41.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0619152.9%101 W · 90 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Rowston38c39.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.476360.3%38 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rowston35c35.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3818453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Petroski64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013647.8%65 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d5…0d5abacked Petroski63c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Petroski63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.