Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a6daabd9a23b796a321719ecca4379c6f19df0a7799ec7f092ae2f063a84301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauffof Bencic, Gauff
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bencic | 39c | 1,362$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.61 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Bencic | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Gauff | 72c | 898.67$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.63 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bencic | 26c | 837.4$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gauff | 75c | 834$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bencic | 49c | 800$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Gauff | 44c | 549.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Gauff | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Gauff | 51c | 470$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Gauff | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Gauff | 59c | 320.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Bencic | 34c | 298$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bencic | 38c | 276$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Bencic | 14c | 275.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Gauff | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bencic | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Gauff | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Gauff | 42c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f0…b870backed Bencic | 45c | 142.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bencic | 53c | 139.84$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Gauff | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Gauff | 60c | 127.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Gauff | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Gauff | 74c | 88.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bencic | 26c | 88.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…a7babacked Gauff | 31c | 81.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bencic | 45c | 60.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Gauff | 73c | 35.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Gauff | 72c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Gauff | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.