Us Politics · resolved market
Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44a0d2fa11f056e2e2a740216ff8cfc05252c80e976da5925964e08ee670c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Yes | 1c | 25,303$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…b117backed Yes | 3c | 5,031$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +291.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 6c | 3,905$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 6c | 3,580$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.48 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.41 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 21c | 2,911$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.74 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 30c | 2,469$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.36 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…701cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654b…c791backed Yes | 5c | 2,161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…d10bbacked Yes | 26c | 2,130$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.55 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,988$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 43c | 1,660$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,607$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,375$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.67 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b2d5backed Yes | 1c | 1,150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 1,058$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…5e0fbacked No | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf73c…9533backed Yes | 43c | 913.24$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 73c | 858.3$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310a…4f04backed Yes | 10c | 820$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed No | 77c | 814$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed No | 71c | 809.99$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 48c | 737.2$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.72 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…9ed0backed Yes | 29c | 701.05$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 53c | 678.33$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed No | 78c | 648.32$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.54 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 6c | 617.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b56…1990backed Yes | 5c | 550.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed No | 79c | 549.21$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.55 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 77c | 548.24$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…c06fbacked No | 75c | 530$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 66c | 513.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.09 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 492.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 19c | 474.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 463.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 5c | 450$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…e0b8backed No | 69c | 435.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 35cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…3739backed Yes | 5c | 424.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…1495backed No | 67c | 422.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Yes | 25c | 404.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 403.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed No | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 76c | 350$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e22…644dbacked Yes | 14c | 342.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 76c | 303.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 23c | 290.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked No | 61c | 288.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 9c | 275$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 78c | 260$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 47c | 255.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cd…d1adbacked Yes | 10c | 250.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yes | 24c | 247.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 78c | 246$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 223 | 47.5%106 W · 117 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfb…89adbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7f…be25backed No | 69c | 236.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed No | 70c | 234.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 35c | 234.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 10c | 234.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 22c | 228.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed No | 71c | 214.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 16c | 208.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 200.5$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…8a73backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…6bf8backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 29c | 196.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 53c | 184.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf3…4ec6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed No | 65c | 181$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.35 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…0d06backed Yes | 17c | 179.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed Yes | 17c | 178.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 60c | 175$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 78c | 162.69$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…ddbebacked Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…37fbbacked Yes | 17c | 153.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…01f6backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 71c | 146.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…c3f1backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26df…f747backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…cdaebacked Yes | 32c | 126.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…e10cbacked No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 26c | 123.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…115fbacked Yes | 17c | 120.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 37c | 116.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x247d…7d27backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 65c | 104.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 64c | 102$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…25f7backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…67c1backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b36abacked Yes | 51c | 98.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…a7b0backed No | 69c | 88.88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 27c | 87.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.