World Politics · resolved market
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b8a3a88a9ebe4f1bbb35ebfa6a170be07ef5b446c0dd2992c02f883f944ae9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $177,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 9,730$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 47c | 4,881$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.5 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 1c | 4,327$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 9c | 2,790$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 1c | 2,650$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 1c | 2,180$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…a40abacked No | 3c | 2,027$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed No | 2c | 1,900$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,859$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 73c | 1,696$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.53 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 9c | 1,559$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 1c | 1,480$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…6924backed No | 19c | 1,435$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed No | 9c | 1,371$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 64c | 1,310$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 15c | 1,226$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.78 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 69c | 1,201$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.81 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…5d05backed No | 9c | 1,163$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 10c | 1,124$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 13c | 1,112$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 7c | 911.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3b…3ad8backed No | 35c | 821$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 37c | 816.47$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 4c | 798.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 12c | 790$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…5799backed No | 9c | 771.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 37c | 760.78$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked No | 17c | 749.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 7c | 711.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 11c | 665.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 75c | 639.81$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.96 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…fd6ebacked No | 33c | 638.13$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 12c | 631.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f5…aceebacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed No | 40c | 601.15$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.06 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 592.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 80c | 523.37$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 78c | 497.83$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 12c | 436.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 19c | 399.98$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 6c | 317.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yes | 76c | 307.94$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 25c | 298.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…304ebacked No | 11c | 289.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9213backed No | 5c | 278.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 67c | 267.43$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 15c | 261.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 15c | 247.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 57c | 226.01$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3,440.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 11c | 207.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…cc0ebacked Yes | 73c | 205.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 204.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 179 | 21.2%38 W · 141 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 20c | 191.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 75c | 189$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 19c | 185$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 7c | 171$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 20c | 162.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790c…033cbacked Yes | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…a862backed Yes | 80c | 149.23$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…e56bbacked No | 30c | 134.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e58…aebebacked Yes | 75c | 133.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 60c | 131.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb952…ea01backed Yes | 78c | 128.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Yes | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 13c | 119.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed No | 10c | 109.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e18…f9ffbacked No | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed Yes | 34c | 103.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…c8aebacked No | 27c | 103.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4d…6babbacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…cd1cbacked No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…15fabacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…f44fbacked Yes | 79c | 97.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…d308backed No | 13c | 97.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked Yes | 76c | 94.48$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…7488backed Yes | 77c | 91.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 22c | 89.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 77c | 83.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 24c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…daeabacked Yes | 79c | 75.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…9de8backed Yes | 78c | 75.21$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 18c | 73.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 16c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 123 | 32.5%40 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…5261backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 17c | 62.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…716abacked No | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…0d3fbacked Yes | 80c | 52.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…a69dbacked Yes | 77c | 45.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed No | 54c | 41.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…fbcbbacked Yes | 80c | 31.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…54bfbacked Yes | 77c | 30.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?this page
- Will Atupele Muluzi win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Dalitso Kabame win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Enoch Chihana win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Joyce Banda win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.