World Politics · resolved market
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf3987128ef2424eefe80ade1ca390a88d4d1f08ae5d970fbf4d4179cce6ce1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d5b…d077backed Yes | 6c | 13,640$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 13,100$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…5aa4backed Yes | 13c | 9,691$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…c9a0backed Yes | 4c | 7,488$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5caf…5470backed Yes | 4c | 4,909$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.34 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…a3dfbacked Yes | 5c | 4,737$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.75 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,426$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 52c | 4,137$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.25 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 10c | 3,800$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.72 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,608$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.4 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…4e2fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,091$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…5d05backed Yes | 9c | 3,005$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed Yes | 7c | 3,001$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 33c | 2,583$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.6 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 7c | 2,103$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.3 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 20c | 2,013$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 10c | 2,013$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.04 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,990$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 1c | 1,987$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…1efebacked Yes | 6c | 1,706$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…a065backed Yes | 13c | 1,705$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…dd28backed Yes | 13c | 1,700$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Yes | 24c | 1,632$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.13 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b8…3dc2backed Yes | 14c | 1,500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…304ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,355$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e1…4673backed Yes | 4c | 1,317$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 9c | 1,294$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 23c | 1,212$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…a40abacked Yes | 2c | 1,005$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 12c | 997.22$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5effbacked Yes | 7c | 989.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 12c | 850$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 4c | 767.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 7c | 740$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 15c | 662.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.74 | 134 | 13.4%18 W · 116 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 6c | 623.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 3c | 576.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 134 | 4.5%6 W · 128 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…99debacked Yes | 19c | 524.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 50c | 519.37$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.89 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 30c | 502.78$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…1cffbacked Yes | 25c | 500$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 14c | 500$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…ec60backed Yes | 6c | 489.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 6c | 471$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 18c | 440.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…fb0abacked Yes | 11c | 426.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 11c | 422.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked Yes | 15c | 405.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.11 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 7c | 401.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 7c | 368.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 149 | 4.7%7 W · 142 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…f746backed Yes | 24c | 362.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.97 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +258.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb952…ea01backed Yes | 16c | 351.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 345.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 17c | 340.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 32c | 335$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked Yes | 10c | 333$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 32c | 327.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.07 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 305.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9213backed Yes | 5c | 283.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 14c | 269.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 59c | 243.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 72c | 236$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.08 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b8…88c8backed Yes | 17c | 235.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Yes | 13c | 229.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde7…ca8bbacked Yes | 22c | 225.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafe…1195backed Yes | 10c | 221.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Yes | 18c | 221$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 215.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 35c | 199.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Yes | 8c | 193.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +626.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaee5…0836backed Yes | 21c | 189.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked Yes | 7c | 182.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed Yes | 13c | 176.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…eb60backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…2725backed Yes | 10c | 134.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…f831backed No | 76c | 131.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 51c | 113.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 14c | 105.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…fecbbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e8…5ad3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5b…6759backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…a487backed Yes | 53c | 94.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7b…babcbacked Yes | 15c | 89.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…ff63backed Yes | 32c | 74.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 18c | 71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…d004backed No | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69cd…d63dbacked Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf49b…8a7dbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?this page
- Will Atupele Muluzi win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Dalitso Kabame win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Enoch Chihana win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Joyce Banda win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?No won
- Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.