Tennis · resolved market
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16bcce277e1e75ceaa08718df3fea52d50bb87e9332272f8685704e890345cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brooksbyof Brooksby, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Brooksby | 64c | 4,375$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.2 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Darderi | 36c | 2,424$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.76 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Darderi | 36c | 1,173$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.81 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Darderi | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd94b…d34abacked Brooksby | 66c | 736.45$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Darderi | 43c | 530$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Darderi | 36c | 522.23$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Brooksby | 62c | 490.32$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brooksby | 60c | 463.16$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Darderi | 37c | 400.09$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.54 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Darderi | 36c | 264$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Darderi | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Brooksby | 63c | 243.27$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.05 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Brooksby | 71c | 170$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Darderi | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Brooksby | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5e…93ccbacked Brooksby | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Brooksby | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Darderi | 36c | 36.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Brooksby | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Brooksby | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Darderi | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…af66backed Brooksby | 65c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Darderi | 36c | 29.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Darderi | 38c | 27.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Darderi | 40c | 26.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab0…126ebacked Brooksby | 64c | 17.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.