Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e5a95ebef176ea7b474d7be46070debd0969e5ef68f270bd9622537c3f45fe5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 5c | 6,019$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…38dcbacked No | 2c | 2,932$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 2c | 2,621$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19c…4fd3backed No | 22c | 2,155$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 21c | 1,980$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 8c | 1,764$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…117cbacked No | 11c | 1,252$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 6c | 1,230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 38c | 1,054$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 26c | 1,048$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.71 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 71c | 881.83$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.19 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 4c | 829.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 14c | 790.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 26c | 744.9$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 80c | 691.09$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 76c | 663.23$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f0…0272backed No | 9c | 623$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 58 | 1.7%1 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -93.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…9781backed No | 18c | 532.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 79c | 514.59$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e9…c21ebacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5cabbacked No | 5c | 497.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34a…273ebacked No | 14c | 497.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.74 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 465.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 78c | 465.46$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…f38bbacked No | 7c | 447.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 13c | 410.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed No | 10c | 384.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…cb9bbacked No | 32c | 383$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 16c | 347.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8706…0587backed No | 8c | 345$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 75c | 345$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…b8d4backed No | 3c | 337.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…fa4cbacked No | 26c | 328.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed No | 21c | 305$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 13c | 302.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked No | 34c | 292.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked No | 18c | 282$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 11c | 247.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed No | 10c | 234.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed No | 6c | 228.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…2225backed No | 7c | 213.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d85…2cf8backed No | 15c | 209.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 27c | 207.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.22 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…ea19backed No | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked No | 13c | 205.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99c…462abacked No | 25c | 201.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 27c | 192.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed No | 11c | 189.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Yes | 74c | 184.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd312…d76cbacked No | 11c | 181.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 69c | 177$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.32 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed No | 26c | 170.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 75c | 167.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked No | 10c | 164.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…d759backed No | 32c | 156.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…fdddbacked No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…6f15backed No | 19c | 155.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…b348backed No | 11c | 129.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…e71dbacked No | 12c | 126.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 117.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…219cbacked No | 16c | 115.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…90a5backed No | 28c | 113.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…3739backed No | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 71c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x030b…6254backed No | 20c | 101.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 11c | 97.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…fd0fbacked No | 28c | 95.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbb…93d6backed No | 25c | 85.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 30c | 79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…1567backed No | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6198…82bfbacked No | 30c | 66.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4b…8790backed No | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9076…8805backed No | 19c | 59.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 74c | 58.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…3be3backed No | 52c | 55.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…484cbacked Yes | 80c | 54.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…5161backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96b…7ad0backed No | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…c41bbacked No | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5e…4168backed Yes | 66c | 50.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.9wins | -0.41per pick | 50cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed No | 24c | 44.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb288…fa0fbacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 33c | 34.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 71c | 32.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 76c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab2…e3f4backed Yes | 71c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b54…10e8backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…f633backed Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.