TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x467c…b348

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Earnings, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Earnings at 58 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,546.53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,644.26
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$187.99
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$66.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$354
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+173%+$550.29
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+212.1%+$403.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$508.87
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$117.52
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$399
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$752.06
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$33.02
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.52
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla between September 16–18 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.96
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.94
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.14
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2025, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$6.05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$26.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+99.3%+$14.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+53.6%+$13.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 91-92°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 74-75°F on July 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+38.1%+$11.66
Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$7.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+44.4%+$12.3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$10.75
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$542Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+102%+$552.49
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$963.84
Grok 4.20 released by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$852.51
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.5%+$61.29
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$251.85
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Grok 5 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+74.2%+$111.66
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+26.2%+$137.64
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31%+$104.25
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11.11
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Grokipedia released by October 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$48
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.22
Will Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$30
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,036.44
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$190.85
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$325.09
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during announcement today?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.1
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
50% copper tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$11.78
US military action against Iran by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.65
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.2
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+143.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+108.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+30%+$47.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$105
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Thursday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.