Us Politics · resolved market

Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bfe9c30b3adf09a99271ccc9cec7a31e03978478e8912e234ca853b889b8950

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,429,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,416,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,429,313 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb4ee…cc59backed No	0c	140,627$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.88	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked No	2c	87,422$1,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,671.32	333	13.2%44 W · 289 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	0c	65,100$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.8	61	0%0 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No	2c	51,796$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.07	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed No	3c	51,756$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.4	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-87.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked No	3c	51,471$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.24	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc419…1aefbacked No	3c	38,822$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,023.33	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a4…c84fbacked No	2c	36,534$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.25	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23e6…7bbfbacked No	4c	35,820$1,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.1	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked No	3c	32,834$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925.34	210	22.4%47 W · 163 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x467c…b348backed No	4c	29,511$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.44	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	40cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x09e2…04b9backed No	0c	23,533$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	12cpaid	-75%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b4…64edbacked No	0c	23,382$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.38	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-79.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb40…3612backed No	0c	22,245$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.25	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f2…146ebacked No	3c	21,640$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.42	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1e…f988backed No	1c	18,406$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.05	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+3.2wins	+0.45per pick	12cpaid	+324.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xad28…1601backed No	0c	18,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No	3c	17,014$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.65	93	1.1%1 W · 92 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-94.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed No	0c	16,542$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.54	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+4.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a2e…b5e5backed No	3c	16,385$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d2f…24debacked No	1c	15,179$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.66	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	37cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10fb…c66cbacked No	2c	15,153$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.65	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb20b…8da0backed No	4c	13,622$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.11	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No	3c	13,000$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.58	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0523…e38bbacked No	0c	12,724$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x104f…6b02backed No	4c	12,419$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced3…ce6bbacked No	3c	11,967$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab07…4248backed No	2c	11,008$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d8d…ed86backed No	2c	10,800$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.82	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc778…e52fbacked No	0c	10,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	5c	10,068$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.77	80	36.3%29 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f3…0545backed No	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf59…6b27backed No	3c	10,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No	2c	9,985$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.86	110	10%11 W · 99 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-32%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad20…2179backed No	5c	9,329$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9dc…1db2backed No	0c	8,692$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…6cc0backed No	4c	8,508$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.33	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.14per pick	25cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6238…5f13backed No	3c	7,873$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed No	3c	7,633$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.27	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe598…a0a8backed No	1c	7,610$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.81	36	63.9%23 W · 13 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c72…dfb6backed No	5c	7,500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa607…2caebacked No	5c	7,420$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.31	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea0…313bbacked No	1c	7,362$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc626…2beabacked No	5c	7,164$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbc…4f45backed No	3c	7,143$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07d4…8991backed No	1c	7,128$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.04	129	10.9%14 W · 115 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked No	4c	6,901$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdec3…ebc5backed No	0c	6,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32db…fcdcbacked No	1c	6,201$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No	3c	6,048$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.29	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd5…c953backed No	2c	5,828$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	1c	5,433$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.11	115	29.6%34 W · 81 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa842…e305backed No	4c	5,335$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.82	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+64.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7024…4c4cbacked No	1c	5,200$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	38	0%0 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed No	1c	5,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-33%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed No	2c	5,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	326	26.4%86 W · 240 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe827…20a6backed No	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf699…5163backed No	2c	4,974$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d44…ca71backed No	4c	4,969$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea59…3b63backed No	7c	4,843$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	15cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e54…3082backed No	5c	4,652$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed No	3c	4,647$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No	1c	4,222$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffe…b69dbacked No	9c	4,189$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.82	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f9…3a54backed No	3c	4,171$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.6	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89de…dc00backed No	5c	4,043$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd749…bf72backed No	3c	3,874$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.75	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	30cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefc5…247cbacked No	6c	3,805$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.65	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97bd…0b35backed No	0c	3,600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed No	2c	3,299$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.19	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	+48%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed No	2c	3,235$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc1b…b19ebacked No	3c	3,165$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa2…163dbacked No	5c	3,138$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada4…48babacked No	3c	3,126$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.54	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	15cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a8…00c7backed No	5c	2,880$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.36	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…fd8dbacked No	6c	2,795$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+2.2wins	+0.43per pick	17cpaid	+237.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc8b…d162backed No	4c	2,763$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8385…05ebbacked No	4c	2,646$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56d…82e7backed No	1c	2,600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.8	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58cf…2a11backed No	2c	2,505$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No	2c	2,500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	35cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9898…0a7dbacked No	3c	2,296$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.07	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a5…5f3cbacked No	7c	2,270$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.16	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+4.9wins	+0.16per pick	27cpaid	+91.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No	5c	2,257$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.19	60	10%6 W · 54 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e9b…7285backed No	4c	2,222$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb80…9b03backed No	1c	2,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked No	2c	2,088$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.1	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025e…a248backed No	3c	2,060$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb59b…a8e0backed No	5c	2,050$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.3	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7b4…4fb7backed No	2c	2,039$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc981…a75dbacked No	4c	2,000$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.2	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed No	2c	2,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e35…a5cabacked No	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb911…a649backed No	1c	2,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d6…0fdabacked No	7c	2,000$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.14per pick	49cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08bd…9ad0backed No	5c	1,967$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No	5c	1,957$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	141	25.5%36 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x195d…1297backed No	5c	1,954$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	4c	1,904$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.53	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-75.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36e8…1f11backed No	5c	1,766$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?this page
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?Yes won
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?Yes won
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?Yes won
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?No won
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?No won
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event