Us Politics · resolved market
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x806cb995b14a4e91d15e8c644862e868a696c334d429c36889e05d926108dbce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 0c | 5,528$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97c…2a99backed No | 62c | 3,204$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 30c | 3,030$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.01 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.54 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 2c | 1,948$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,832$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.93 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 10c | 1,150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 36c | 1,035$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.18 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked No | 73c | 920.19$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 64c | 823.29$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc01…7a9abacked Yes | 49c | 819.71$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 19c | 725.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 4c | 623.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 79c | 614.4$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…a061backed Yes | 35c | 540.22$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 75c | 453.73$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 24c | 421.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…16bdbacked Yes | 29c | 420$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 33c | 389.45$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.16 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 16c | 388.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 77c | 377.51$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 59c | 356.06$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.97 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed No | 80c | 318.16$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 10c | 299.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 282.48$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 39c | 271.57$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 24c | 266$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 63c | 261$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 26c | 249.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea5…c747backed No | 71c | 248.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 28c | 240.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 78c | 240$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 59c | 237.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 23c | 235$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 19c | 225$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 211$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed Yes | 25c | 206$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 144 | 60.4%87 W · 57 L | +16.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5943…2ef2backed No | 65c | 201.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…0e43backed Yes | 25c | 199.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 175$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…a142backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06d…3e0ebacked Yes | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…9c9abacked Yes | 22c | 138.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed No | 62c | 135.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…4f7cbacked Yes | 31c | 135.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd873…236dbacked Yes | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 74c | 132$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 72c | 129.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 76c | 128.84$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 73c | 127.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…717ebacked No | 74c | 127.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 126.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35c…f668backed Yes | 30c | 114.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked No | 68c | 113$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df5…8b4fbacked Yes | 27c | 103.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…1d6ebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…edf7backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 73cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc1…d7acbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -17.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…d69abacked No | 70c | 95.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027a…ea13backed No | 56c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…ca81backed No | 78c | 87.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 24c | 84.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +117.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…1273backed Yes | 21c | 84.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked No | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…ff86backed Yes | 30c | 73.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…8cadbacked No | 73c | 72.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 34c | 71.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dbc…7610backed Yes | 38c | 68.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf200…045ebacked No | 75c | 66.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…8c92backed No | 66c | 63.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e238backed No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4347…cb81backed Yes | 30c | 61.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…8d23backed No | 69c | 60.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…c640backed Yes | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16a…3c93backed Yes | 35c | 58.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…a830backed No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…b348backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -6.7wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x469b…5182backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Yes | 27c | 43.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1e…f6c8backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x165a…3975backed No | 55c | 38.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 66c | 38.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…e081backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…2ebdbacked No | 55c | 33.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…46d0backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked No | 61c | 30.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6311…842fbacked No | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.