AI · resolved market
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d3e198cc89b22d04ea77fd9d760b557d934d04d974578526ac4b063d588113
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x978e…80bcbacked Yes | 8c | 18,161$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.59 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…6a2bbacked Yes | 12c | 11,406$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 5c | 9,212$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.58 | 190 | 11.6%22 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed Yes | 8c | 8,191$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.59 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 10c | 7,236$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.25 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 5,400$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…67ccbacked Yes | 11c | 5,256$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.83 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2292…304ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,506$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 12c | 4,500$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.47 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 9c | 4,459$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 10c | 4,256$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed Yes | 10c | 3,864$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…ad8fbacked Yes | 9c | 3,506$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 7c | 2,905$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.75 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x132f…0e6ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,867$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 2,811$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Yes | 15c | 2,764$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0b…956abacked Yes | 14c | 2,503$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…38cabacked Yes | 9c | 2,343$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 8c | 2,329$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 13c | 2,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.83 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb07d…23dcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,419$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.44 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75a3…5fd5backed Yes | 10c | 1,397$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 5c | 1,128$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,045$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 12c | 1,042$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…3154backed Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…15bdbacked Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +503.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…23f7backed Yes | 8c | 771.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 760.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…8dbebacked Yes | 9c | 750$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c0…2510backed Yes | 10c | 710.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…752abacked Yes | 13c | 700.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae0…25e5backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…a67dbacked Yes | 14c | 697.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3244…5b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 673.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…d5f9backed Yes | 10c | 663.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 660.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 16c | 610.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7401…b460backed Yes | 10c | 559.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14bc…aa14backed Yes | 18c | 544.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes | 2c | 534$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb943…777dbacked Yes | 11c | 527.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 13c | 490.65$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…554fbacked Yes | 11c | 460$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…3c4dbacked Yes | 7c | 457$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e0…b648backed Yes | 13c | 449.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 9c | 442.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…e81fbacked Yes | 11c | 435.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 14c | 414.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d4…08fcbacked Yes | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed Yes | 13c | 375$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…c0febacked Yes | 12c | 353.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 10c | 351$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 8c | 339$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…32a0backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd807…d95fbacked Yes | 10c | 307.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174a…930abacked Yes | 10c | 297.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe6…4fa3backed Yes | 10c | 286.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e6…c14ebacked Yes | 17c | 251$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc434…7003backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…0b32backed Yes | 13c | 249.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ed…6609backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f294backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef2…f85ebacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…cd82backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 7c | 207.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…4ca0backed Yes | 22c | 206.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…3f2cbacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…2a82backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 11c | 199.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…7b39backed Yes | 10c | 199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x601b…42b7backed Yes | 10c | 193.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…87b8backed Yes | 11c | 180$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb09…0812backed Yes | 11c | 177$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8676…79abbacked Yes | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed Yes | 11c | 172.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48f…181cbacked Yes | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…e347backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5957…52d3backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cc…f848backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a3…af12backed Yes | 14c | 142.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d4…2e55backed Yes | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 17c | 119.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…e3acbacked Yes | 15c | 113.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 80c | 110.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…d5aabacked No | 21c | 109.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +371.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7050…b4fabacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a5…5638backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 10c | 104.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.