Will Trump say "North Korea" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b8c6da2518048d52a11bc524626530f9a0ed375c4f4c29e8f8e3dd63b6cac2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Oct 29, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,485
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,485 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2853…3482backed No	71c	252.63$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.59	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c42…66b5backed No	44c	225.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.69	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c08…eba9backed No	41c	219.67$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.62	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed Yes	58c	209.82$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.7	26	11.5%3 W · 23 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-77.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked No	46c	182.1$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.48	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+104%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc406…07d9backed No	40c	170$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.3	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes	58c	156.66$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.8	78	33.3%26 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9280…9f91backed Yes	37c	122.01$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x093b…6758backed Yes	65c	121.24$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.46	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	44cpaid	+106.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed No	43c	120$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.4	69	27.5%19 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes	12c	110.99$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.7	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bd2…2b28backed Yes	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd47…000fbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be6…45bbbacked Yes	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b48…6b1abacked Yes	55c	72.68$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x467c…b348backed Yes	66c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af4…89b4backed No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	58cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	42c	46.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.22	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes	28c	42.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x072a…3e85backed Yes	28c	42.69$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc2…5003backed No	48c	41.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	37cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23cb…658ebacked Yes	61c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.4	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd595…b30bbacked Yes	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x579b…4a2bbacked Yes	66c	30.15$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8266…c472backed Yes	55c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf327…0b68backed No	38c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes	53c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a3…0822backed Yes	59c	24.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.57	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.39per pick	59cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x872c…40e0backed Yes	56c	21.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f54…93d5backed Yes	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e0e…4419backed Yes	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	44cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Trump say "North Korea" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event