AI · resolved market
Grokipedia released by October 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8650095bd31dfbeb20195caf3edc52c8a349ecd61e7c33d9a3765f4cb2ebdc3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 12,970$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 23c | 6,102$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.34 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adf…764ebacked Yes | 1c | 5,848$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 4c | 3,035$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.65 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 0c | 2,999$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…8009backed Yes | 2c | 1,988$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 79c | 1,884$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.49 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 6c | 1,350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…5839backed No | 71c | 1,088$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.23 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…3504backed Yes | 26c | 900$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9935…ff83backed Yes | 10c | 799.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 73c | 780.9$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.86 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…d233backed Yes | 9c | 768.24$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 80c | 742.27$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.66 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…977dbacked No | 79c | 517.81$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…1724backed No | 74c | 437.05$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 32c | 419.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 27c | 417.7$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked No | 77c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…e53ebacked No | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 10c | 351.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 344.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…fdadbacked No | 75c | 309.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…0a19backed No | 72c | 300$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 22c | 273.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 37c | 272.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef3…5fdabacked No | 78c | 260.14$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…1d86backed No | 77c | 234.82$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 227.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…09bfbacked No | 67c | 213.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 13c | 212.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Yes | 12c | 212.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467c…b348backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 68c | 199.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 74c | 192.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e4…5557backed Yes | 25c | 175$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 79c | 170$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…05e7backed No | 67c | 167.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…a21fbacked No | 76c | 160.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…7136backed No | 74c | 155.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed No | 77c | 149.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…ec1ebacked No | 76c | 141.79$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 77c | 129.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…b757backed No | 75c | 126$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0325…7d21backed No | 71c | 125.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6d…e289backed No | 77c | 109$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…c01dbacked No | 71c | 105.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab60…85c1backed No | 74c | 103.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b88…19c8backed No | 66c | 102.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9357…81ddbacked No | 70c | 101.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…1456backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…eaf3backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe17…dd5cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…e26ebacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…377fbacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…b9a7backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5751…5334backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x766e…699fbacked No | 75c | 66.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952f…ff63backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 20c | 64.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…fbd1backed No | 73c | 63.08$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…24ebbacked No | 76c | 60.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b2…383dbacked No | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…d476backed Yes | 32c | 56.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaecd…de9abacked No | 50c | 48.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…9511backed No | 74c | 43.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…c8aebacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…d3c2backed Yes | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 36c | 37.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…0258backed No | 42c | 36.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd1…00c9backed No | 77c | 34.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…a1bfbacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…3eb8backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…e354backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…b401backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…34b2backed No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…75eebacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 77c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…6e9ebacked No | 73c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grokipedia released by October 24?this page
- Grokipedia released by December 31?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by November 15?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by November 7?Yes won
- Grokipedia released by October 31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.