South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44afe05dbee86f138efb7d22a6d61cd115ef55b0cf705191d0a050ec631ed7c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 65c | 4,424$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.27 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 4,262$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 4,055$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,243.89 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 64c | 3,845$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.72 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 46c | 2,987$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.6 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 34c | 2,963$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.4 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 1,789$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 65c | 1,640$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 1,416$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 66c | 909.17$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 906.57$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.41 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 70c | 700$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.95 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 66c | 631$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 8c | 568.81$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d39…6bf1backed Yes | 33c | 548.97$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 5c | 528.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 46c | 438.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 314.42$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 65c | 309$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 286.37$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 237.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 66c | 218.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 202.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 47c | 198.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 66c | 190.72$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 52c | 165.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Yes | 35c | 162.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 60c | 151$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…38a6backed Yes | 15c | 139.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7d…c548backed Yes | 35c | 137.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 21c | 136.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes | 55c | 136.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 57c | 126.68$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 59c | 116.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Yes | 62c | 98.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 57c | 97.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 35c | 88.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2216…c013backed Yes | 35c | 74.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 53c | 70.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked No | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2f…20a5backed Yes | 21c | 68.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Yes | 32c | 65.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 61.58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b9…f9ebbacked Yes | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 35c | 54.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 38c | 53.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes | 61c | 49.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 66c | 47.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 39c | 43.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 43.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 59c | 37.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 30.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 59c | 30.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Yes | 60c | 22.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5783…429dbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 68c | 19.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 65c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked Yes | 67c | 16.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.