Tennis · resolved market
China Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Marie Bouzkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502dc492f421d7644ba3225662a7a70b9af7029202d9ee47790696d93b28702b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paoliniof Paolini, Bouzkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bouzkova | 0c | 17,989$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bouzkova | 35c | 4,019$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.23 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Paolini | 64c | 2,649$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.5 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Paolini | 71c | 2,057$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.42 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Paolini | 74c | 1,749$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.02 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paolini | 78c | 1,710$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.95 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bouzkova | 33c | 1,504$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.32 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bouzkova | 34c | 1,000$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.36 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Paolini | 66c | 968.15$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.17 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Bouzkova | 31c | 955.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…0e50backed Bouzkova | 19c | 837.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bouzkova | 25c | 754.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bouzkova | 21c | 739.97$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.46 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bouzkova | 20c | 733.25$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Paolini | 74c | 678.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Paolini | 68c | 647.06$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bouzkova | 35c | 609.49$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.84 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Paolini | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Paolini | 66c | 584.85$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Paolini | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 282 | 41.8%118 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bouzkova | 36c | 452.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.97 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Paolini | 67c | 431.33$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bb…e7a1backed Paolini | 68c | 265.22$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Bouzkova | 16c | 220.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paolini | 67c | 170$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bouzkova | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Paolini | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Paolini | 68c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…b31dbacked Paolini | 78c | 147.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Paolini | 64c | 143.56$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Paolini | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Paolini | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Bouzkova | 24c | 122.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Paolini | 65c | 107.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 239 | 69.9%167 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bouzkova | 33c | 105.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bouzkova | 16c | 105.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Bouzkova | 38c | 104.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bouzkova | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Paolini | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Bouzkova | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Paolini | 76c | 61.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Bouzkova | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…e838backed Paolini | 64c | 58.61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paolini | 67c | 55.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Paolini | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad0…fbcbbacked Paolini | 69c | 24.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcb…575ebacked Paolini | 65c | 16.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.