TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

US Open: Naomi Osaka vs Amanda Anisimova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Anisimovaof Osaka, Anisimova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$406,572
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,572 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37e4…c991backed Osaka51c34,804$17,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,750.2622037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Osaka49c31,053$15,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,319.241250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Anisimova49c31,003$15,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,773.893458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Osaka50c19,103$9,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,493.521450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Anisimova49c15,000$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Osaka51c14,000$7,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,079.972733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Osaka68c12,070$8,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,186.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-4.5wins-0.41per pick68cpaid-61.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Osaka32c11,705$3,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,716.0410845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Osaka50c11,057$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.43452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Anisimova38c10,419$3,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,507.7365242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Anisimova49c10,353$5,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,279.884456.8%25 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Anisimova50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56f…75efbacked Osaka51c9,799$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.54330.2%13 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Anisimova40c6,183$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.656535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Anisimova49c5,426$2,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.0223429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Anisimova50c5,241$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,620.591526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Osaka51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed Anisimova40c4,807$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.0232141.1%132 W · 189 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Anisimova49c4,746$2,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.2815957.2%91 W · 68 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Osaka50c4,234$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.1314345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0344…a65ebacked Anisimova51c4,009$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,964.411662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Anisimova40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4005151%26 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3868…5683backed Anisimova42c4,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3007330.1%22 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Anisimova47c3,744$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.3416140.4%65 W · 96 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…2f1fbacked Osaka79c3,573$2,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.78862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaddd…9407backed Osaka3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Anisimova50c3,163$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.9145737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Anisimova47c3,067$1,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.5312737.8%48 W · 79 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Anisimova50c2,974$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.1630847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Anisimova49c2,847$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.3213935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Anisimova50c2,715$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.8428828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Anisimova50c2,400$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20011852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Anisimova45c2,351$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Anisimova58c2,207$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.593946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Anisimova50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00014549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ef…1e04backed Osaka60c1,705$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Osaka8c1,672$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3519835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Anisimova50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75022629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Osaka50c1,466$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.949245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Osaka50c1,466$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.9436440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Anisimova50c1,303$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.332462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd49b…abffbacked Osaka51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506921.7%15 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Anisimova43c1,050$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.52835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Osaka51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51028451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Osaka71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71011652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Anisimova50c880.62$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.3114243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Osaka58c783.25$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.479130.8%28 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd986…1320backed Osaka50c777$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.52825%7 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3606…9bd2backed Anisimova23c752.17$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.171747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Anisimova54c740.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6651243%220 W · 292 L+14.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9262…4978backed Osaka70c738.25$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Anisimova44c660.88$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.3913245.5%60 W · 72 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e93…69d5backed Osaka51c643.92$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3281030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Osaka49c624.69$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.114949%73 W · 76 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9406…9071backed Anisimova37c616.2$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Osaka48c600$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28829634.1%101 W · 195 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d0…8dcebacked Anisimova47c600$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3161827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…e93fbacked Osaka59c600$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3523154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c0…147dbacked Osaka67c578.11$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.39250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Osaka50c568.4$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.25052%26 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Osaka53c567.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f6…c600backed Anisimova44c566.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.671145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Osaka29c554.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d4…fadbbacked Osaka39c550$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+93.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2998…b425backed Anisimova30c549.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.951942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Anisimova49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553933.3%13 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Osaka51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25522737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Osaka53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2654254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Anisimova49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25525244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Anisimova50c499.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.612657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Anisimova43c467.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.2473147.9%350 W · 381 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Anisimova26c455.55$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.557057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Osaka42c444.95$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.885648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Anisimova52c430$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.928943.8%39 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed Anisimova40c429.95$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.973070%21 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+44.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1955…aef1backed Osaka47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Anisimova49c418.84$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6111060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Anisimova47c417$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.0155143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Anisimova49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc235…12cfbacked Anisimova50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Anisimova48c399.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9966831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Anisimova50c396.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0829553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83c8…5d9ebacked Anisimova51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.163151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Anisimova60c382.4$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.011050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab07…1e7bbacked Anisimova40c370$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.71361.5%8 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.30per pick31cpaid+78.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0306…dcf6backed Osaka71c352.11$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014663%92 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…4392backed Anisimova38c350$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.443836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255e…4979backed Osaka64c347.72$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.06944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Anisimova49c324.49$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4914343.4%62 W · 81 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Anisimova51c320$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.812954.3%70 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee05…812fbacked Osaka53c301.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Osaka51c297.96$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9622344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Osaka52c290.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0b8…5c25backed Anisimova37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x431b…1d9cbacked Osaka72c242.9$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.62157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Osaka52c241.67$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7289850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Anisimova48c240.48$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.052748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Anisimova50c236.78$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.381957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd687…c066backed Anisimova48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Anisimova49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0848043.3%208 W · 272 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.