Premier League · resolved market
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ac09b59894b2dc44d1a04883dc88634e9b989f24147d5c8533589da1a7a623
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Over | 78c | 71,994$56,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,063.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 22c | 33,904$7,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,537.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 28,194$19,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,423.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 16,250$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,546.07 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 11c | 14,999$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.89 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 26c | 13,532$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,556.73 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 76c | 6,547$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 25c | 6,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,850 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 22c | 3,781$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.56 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 36c | 2,266$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.58 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 22c | 1,818$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.04 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 36c | 1,510$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 22c | 1,036$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.95 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 70c | 873.26$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.58 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 24c | 792.03$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.6 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 76c | 717.6$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.68 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 24c | 654.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.55 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Over | 76c | 606.79$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 39c | 600$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.73 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 507.37$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.6 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Over | 23c | 444$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 57c | 404.82$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.87 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Under | 25c | 332$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Under | 25c | 315.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Under | 23c | 250$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Under | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Under | 24c | 161.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 24c | 140.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Over | 70c | 133.32$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 22c | 127$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 67c | 123.88$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 21c | 123.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 75c | 122.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Under | 25c | 108$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Under | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +13.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Under | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 76c | 86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.41 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 75c | 85.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 26c | 85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under | 45c | 83.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 58c | 79.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 33c | 77.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…82d7backed Over | 75c | 71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 67c | 70.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Under | 30c | 64.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Under | 25c | 59.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Under | 28c | 57.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…4c0bbacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 67cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Over | 41c | 43.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 61c | 32.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…e6b8backed Over | 76c | 31.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 48c | 27.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3b…b81cbacked Under | 57c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 62c | 21.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…2839backed Over | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4d…0e7fbacked Over | 75c | 17.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5this page
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)Everton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.