Premier League · resolved market
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890e5970fb1f37e8ee3434cf98e5b960c6fe35eea1ab5de703b940507d1fc08f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 6c | 8,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 73c | 6,899$5,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.75 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 2,562$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 19c | 1,995$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.11 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 70c | 1,064$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 72c | 208.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Under | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 30c | 195.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 73c | 122$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 29c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 27c | 91.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…45b7backed Under | 74c | 82.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 31c | 82.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 30c | 67.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…b4dbbacked Under | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Over | 28c | 53.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 68c | 52.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fff…9d61backed Over | 29c | 43.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 29c | 38.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Over | 30c | 37.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 3.5this page
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)Everton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.