Premier League · resolved market
Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4aab404aca92cae96a9c48fcf5d92ebdb674a066dc5ebc1b7c57daa8bd45ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 10,636$8,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,412.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 51c | 6,234$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.26 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over | 51c | 3,310$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.45 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 28c | 3,096$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.65 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 51c | 2,383$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,875$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.25 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 1,853$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.05 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,592$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.21 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 50c | 853.74$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.98 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 741.92$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.22 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 551.97$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.92 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 77c | 502.6$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 51c | 457.08$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.11 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ef…cb71backed Over | 53c | 378.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 59c | 360.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 51c | 327.45$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…4a47backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 51c | 216.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Under | 49c | 199.96$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 53c | 171.62$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 51c | 135.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e86…fffebacked Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked Under | 51c | 95.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 34c | 79.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 19c | 71.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 24c | 59.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +13.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 49c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 51c | 42.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 52c | 41.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…7412backed Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 51c | 39.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Over | 51c | 25.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…8518backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…3ef6backed Over | 51c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…91b8backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 2.5this page
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 1.5Under won
- Bournemouth vs. Everton: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Bournemouth (-1.5)Everton won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.