Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Tondela win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c9bbde27d68e3359d27bcb5af84481894034183ead544c0a0b29da69f8f23c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 67c | 9,615$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.23 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 8,734$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.26 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 75c | 5,958$4,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.82 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed No | 41c | 2,500$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.98 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 55c | 2,250$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.87 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,520$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 27c | 1,371$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.02 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 48c | 1,107$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.73 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 32c | 520.01$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…b0dcbacked No | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 280.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 183.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked No | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 42c | 117.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed No | 35c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…e1acbacked Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 74c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Yes | 48c | 39.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 57c | 35.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…96dcbacked Yes | 74c | 26.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Tondela win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. CD Tondela end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2025-11-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.