CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c97e8852474ca9f4ce524b114a5865aac7cc1ab3abd3e131e6d14690ad3be80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof TheMongolz, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Spirit | 69c | 29,619$20,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,186.71 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed TheMongolz | 31c | 10,510$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.39 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed TheMongolz | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 8,000$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.03 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Spirit | 68c | 7,448$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.36 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed TheMongolz | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed TheMongolz | 29c | 4,493$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.94 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 4,094$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Spirit | 70c | 4,079$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.78 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Spirit | 69c | 3,315$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.65 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed TheMongolz | 30c | 2,277$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.12 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 77c | 2,180$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.38 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz | 31c | 2,171$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.91 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Spirit | 63c | 2,068$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.79 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Spirit | 70c | 1,891$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.43 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 74c | 1,686$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.75 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked Spirit | 70c | 1,526$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.77 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Spirit | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Spirit | 69c | 1,454$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spirit | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c8…695fbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 1,129$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…e848backed Spirit | 70c | 1,081$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 58cpaid | -64%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Spirit | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit | 72c | 972.5$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf239…cbccbacked Spirit | 69c | 878.19$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Spirit | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed TheMongolz | 31c | 706.45$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed TheMongolz | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked TheMongolz | 30c | 586.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TheMongolz | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed TheMongolz | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Spirit | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Spirit | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e4…f533backed Spirit | 67c | 470$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 76c | 434.97$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.34 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Spirit | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928e…d701backed Spirit | 63c | 397$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.89 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed TheMongolz | 31c | 378.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7c…981cbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 373.4$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.22 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed TheMongolz | 18c | 361.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed TheMongolz | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed TheMongolz | 31c | 326$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…4708backed TheMongolz | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz | 17c | 311$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Spirit | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Spirit | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed TheMongolz | 31c | 278$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.51 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed TheMongolz | 34c | 262.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 135 | 37.8%51 W · 84 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spirit | 67c | 257.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spirit | 69c | 249.98$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…9f1dbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 227.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked TheMongolz | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed TheMongolz | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…536ebacked TheMongolz | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed Spirit | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed TheMongolz | 31c | 162.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Spirit | 69c | 144.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed TheMongolz | 24c | 127.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 125.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…ae72backed TheMongolz | 32c | 125.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TheMongolz | 33c | 121.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed TheMongolz | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked TheMongolz | 23c | 105.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed TheMongolz | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked Spirit | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed TheMongolz | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Spirit | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TheMongolz | 27c | 94.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed TheMongolz | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Spirit | 73c | 85.88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked TheMongolz | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 15c | 78.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked TheMongolz | 31c | 74.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed TheMongolz | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…4224backed TheMongolz | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…da5ebacked TheMongolz | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Spirit | 70c | 54.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…dbb4backed TheMongolz | 25c | 50.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked TheMongolz | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Spirit | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Spirit | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…ec1dbacked TheMongolz | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Spirit | 77c | 44.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…d2d8backed Spirit | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Spirit | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spirit | 68c | 36.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Spirit | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed TheMongolz | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed TheMongolz | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f5f…e7f9backed Spirit | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac08…2ecfbacked Spirit | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…0241backed Spirit | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Spirit | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.