CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfded3c7c6665359b39727e62f7832d4d1a84c1e77fac382f89be9e771f826846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof TheMongolz, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc79b…8cfabacked Spirit | 69c | 4,880$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 38c | 4,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit | 62c | 3,273$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.9 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed TheMongolz | 20c | 2,932$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.32 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 32c | 2,325$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.72 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Spirit | 77c | 1,943$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 40c | 1,881$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.48 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 1,439$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.47 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked TheMongolz | 34c | 1,170$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.65 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TheMongolz | 31c | 1,065$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.85 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Spirit | 58c | 966.89$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.44 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed TheMongolz | 23c | 626.13$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed TheMongolz | 39c | 588.52$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.54 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz | 42c | 561.85$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 821 | 43%353 W · 468 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spirit | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Spirit | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Spirit | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 41c | 442.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.73 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 331.58$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 62c | 292.95$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 205.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed TheMongolz | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked TheMongolz | 40c | 181.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 180$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed TheMongolz | 38c | 174.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…25e1backed Spirit | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Spirit | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked TheMongolz | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…543bbacked TheMongolz | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TheMongolz | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed TheMongolz | 38c | 97.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Spirit | 55c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked Spirit | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 38c | 77.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed TheMongolz | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed TheMongolz | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Spirit | 55c | 66.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Spirit | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Spirit | 59c | 50.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Spirit | 77c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf307…a5bdbacked Spirit | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Spirit | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed TheMongolz | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b21dbacked Spirit | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…3132backed Spirit | 76c | 36.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…7ba9backed Spirit | 57c | 34.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Spirit | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Spirit | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.