CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dc21657da58f4736ea2fc79165efc44bd1817d5a64d07b4568fae94b713f0a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof TheMongolz, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,881
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,881 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked TheMongolz | 44c | 5,197$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.87 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 60c | 3,119$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.22 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Spirit | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 39c | 1,211$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.18 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spirit | 64c | 1,003$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.55 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed TheMongolz | 36c | 999.66$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.96 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Spirit | 53c | 812.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.54 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 59c | 684.39$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Spirit | 52c | 588.44$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.67 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Spirit | 68c | 520.51$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.56 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TheMongolz | 32c | 520.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed TheMongolz | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Spirit | 70c | 427.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked TheMongolz | 17c | 423.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz | 53c | 361.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed TheMongolz | 38c | 338.42$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked TheMongolz | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…9f1dbacked TheMongolz | 39c | 197.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 49c | 183.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed TheMongolz | 33c | 163.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed TheMongolz | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 18c | 128.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Spirit | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Spirit | 61c | 122.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed TheMongolz | 28c | 119.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Spirit | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Spirit | 64c | 84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Spirit | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Spirit | 64c | 62.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…ec1dbacked TheMongolz | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…a320backed TheMongolz | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed TheMongolz | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…d2d8backed Spirit | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked TheMongolz | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed Spirit | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed TheMongolz | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Spirit | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Spirit | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3)Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.