College Football · resolved market
UL Monroe vs. Louisiana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6261817571f9918d52956c944dc561ef6e62574d56784fcb9105548e4f13dec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisianaof UL Monroe, Louisiana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Louisiana | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed UL Monroe | 23c | 18,912$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,349.87 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Louisiana | 62c | 11,200$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,201.6 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked UL Monroe | 18c | 10,711$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.74 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UL Monroe | 27c | 7,450$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.81 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UL Monroe | 20c | 4,374$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.2 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Louisiana | 77c | 4,300$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed UL Monroe | 24c | 1,800$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.42 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked UL Monroe | 27c | 1,566$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UL Monroe | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed UL Monroe | 19c | 1,351$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Louisiana | 66c | 1,303$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed UL Monroe | 23c | 795.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.37 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UL Monroe | 40c | 732.07$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.76 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UL Monroe | 40c | 591.68$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.07 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UL Monroe | 17c | 544.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UL Monroe | 23c | 475.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed UL Monroe | 30c | 401.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…16e3backed Louisiana | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UL Monroe | 18c | 372$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…80a3backed Louisiana | 72c | 345$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed UL Monroe | 3c | 338.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed UL Monroe | 19c | 271.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked UL Monroe | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed UL Monroe | 50c | 230$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…01efbacked UL Monroe | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed UL Monroe | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed UL Monroe | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e58…3b81backed UL Monroe | 49c | 151.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed UL Monroe | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Louisiana | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UL Monroe | 36c | 112.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…4a49backed UL Monroe | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Louisiana | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Louisiana | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked UL Monroe | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…55b1backed UL Monroe | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Louisiana | 39c | 95.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed UL Monroe | 22c | 89.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UL Monroe | 23c | 86.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed UL Monroe | 23c | 82.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked UL Monroe | 60c | 64.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Louisiana | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…7048backed UL Monroe | 58c | 57.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed UL Monroe | 34c | 55.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed UL Monroe | 63c | 54.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked UL Monroe | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed UL Monroe | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…d4ecbacked UL Monroe | 21c | 49.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f4…d0f6backed Louisiana | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Louisiana | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…8b02backed Louisiana | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…afbfbacked Louisiana | 77c | 31.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed UL Monroe | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47aa…09e9backed Louisiana | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…f49cbacked Louisiana | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…85bfbacked Louisiana | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Louisiana | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Louisiana | 79c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe566…9133backed Louisiana | 68c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UL Monroe vs. Louisianathis page
- Spread: Louisiana (-10.5)UL Monroe won
- Spread: Louisiana (-9.5)UL Monroe won
- UL Monroe vs. Louisiana: O/U 47.5Over won
- UL Monroe vs. Louisiana: O/U 48.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.