Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c8f9c76e7e3dd43fea03252c8e4a131c4b4adac7de91556bc44af61781a527e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 55c | 15,000$8,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,762.98 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 44c | 8,416$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.53 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 59c | 6,824$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.72 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 32c | 4,693$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.22 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 31c | 4,276$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.5 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 2,137$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.45 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Over | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 1,993$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.43 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 51c | 1,945$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,889$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 30c | 1,880$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 41c | 1,802$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.46 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…2a62backed Under | 71c | 1,708$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 69c | 1,142$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.34 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 31c | 354.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Under | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Over | 17c | 159.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 79c | 63.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfde8…c52fbacked Over | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 52c | 59.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Over | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…8fd2backed Over | 55c | 47.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Over | 44c | 42.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7eb…e1a3backed Under | 71c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 33c | 41.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -41%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Under | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 55c | 34.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Over | 53c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -7.0wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Under | 71c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)Fulham won
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.