Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x208492e105f4adf02c930c15471d3f344da7cc5cc87772dfb03758c4a76459cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 13,603$6,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,504.56 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Over | 51c | 9,451$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,631.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 8,985$4,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.5 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Under | 48c | 6,020$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 46c | 5,850$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.2 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 5,283$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.37 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 49c | 2,964$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.1 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…106dbacked Over | 54c | 2,817$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.78 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 53c | 1,411$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.32 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 1,156$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.35 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 5c | 1,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 856.43$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.18 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 80c | 630.13$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.01 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…6e0cbacked Over | 52c | 578.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 53c | 348.96$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 281.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 281.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…457fbacked Over | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 54c | 175.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +13.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Over | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 52c | 95.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.43 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c9…b445backed Over | 51c | 75.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 62c | 44.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 52c | 38.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 48c | 36.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…3232backed Under | 45c | 35.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 34.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e5…260cbacked Over | 51c | 34.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…db8cbacked Over | 50c | 31.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 158 | 66.5%105 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…d6f1backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd7…98bfbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Under | 47c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…7e39backed Over | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…fadbbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tottenham (-1.5)Fulham won
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tottenham vs. Fulham: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.