AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a6b30336fbd91782c651e1a102f6952f39222bea21a72222656aba39e3848d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $832,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $981,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $832,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 19,148$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.17 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed No | 2c | 18,632$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.3 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 5c | 15,127$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.51 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4323…a0aebacked No | 6c | 13,433$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 0c | 10,728$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…a73ebacked No | 2c | 9,966$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…7c2fbacked No | 10c | 9,781$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 8,600$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…5458backed No | 16c | 7,068$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +170.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 5c | 6,919$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.54 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26f…fa03backed No | 2c | 6,326$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 5c | 6,059$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…ac60backed No | 18c | 6,002$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 4c | 5,897$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.48 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 7c | 5,884$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.42 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 4,581$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…7406backed No | 1c | 4,334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 5c | 4,298$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6856…b578backed No | 5c | 3,961$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…a99bbacked No | 0c | 3,961$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 9c | 3,547$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.61 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 5c | 3,506$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.12 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 3,360$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 9c | 3,321$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.36 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…3d39backed No | 4c | 3,030$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked No | 7c | 3,001$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…4d2fbacked No | 6c | 3,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…f75ebacked No | 6c | 2,956$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 5c | 2,890$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed No | 16c | 2,835$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.9 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…10bfbacked No | 5c | 2,290$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…3cbebacked No | 3c | 2,236$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 7c | 2,184$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x593e…b5ebbacked No | 7c | 2,007$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 5c | 1,993$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 14c | 1,911$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed No | 2c | 1,637$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…5f53backed No | 7c | 1,581$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037b…47f4backed No | 4c | 1,561$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 7c | 1,477$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…9d33backed No | 2c | 1,439$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ca…3070backed No | 2c | 1,231$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed No | 6c | 1,189$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…1bb7backed No | 3c | 1,100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 6c | 1,034$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc318…2f8dbacked No | 2c | 1,009$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…0921backed No | 6c | 962.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…b679backed No | 5c | 863.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…202bbacked No | 2c | 860$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc022…8496backed No | 5c | 834$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed No | 5c | 816.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 10c | 809.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 4c | 805$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca5…7232backed No | 6c | 801.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8b…689abacked No | 2c | 800$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 5c | 795.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…7934backed No | 3c | 753.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…8f30backed No | 9c | 709.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…3b20backed No | 5c | 676.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 4c | 645.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…5d3cbacked No | 5c | 583.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 10c | 545$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…2d58backed No | 3c | 527.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…1a3bbacked No | 2c | 520$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…6914backed No | 2c | 520$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb949…d8e0backed No | 6c | 515.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 7c | 501$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…8cf6backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.75 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…7c3abacked No | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 70c | 437.4$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…46c8backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ad…3581backed No | 7c | 390.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 7c | 387.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355d…4a31backed No | 5c | 363.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d5…591bbacked No | 9c | 360.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 9c | 354.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…67c4backed No | 6c | 352.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…d786backed No | 6c | 338.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…5252backed No | 6c | 326.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…e0cbbacked No | 4c | 307$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c0…e981backed No | 8c | 304$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 72c | 278.24$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…583fbacked No | 8c | 266.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d32…62f1backed No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…404abacked No | 7c | 244.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…222ebacked No | 5c | 240$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…755dbacked No | 5c | 230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed No | 6c | 229$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb5…7588backed No | 18c | 223.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…e1e7backed No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…19bbbacked No | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…a93fbacked No | 6c | 201$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…43bebacked No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…88fcbacked No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f294backed No | 6c | 173$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.