AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0698bea80dfa2f0936308c65319d45d7b4e8f489be7e759d6f3e2486231fc9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $684,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 78,844$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.47 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…3c81backed Yes | 1c | 49,096$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 29,737$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.45 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 5c | 28,530$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.1 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…87dabacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c8…fad0backed Yes | 4c | 19,238$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 16,888$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.48 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 1c | 15,346$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Yes | 0c | 15,027$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 2c | 13,835$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb165…a646backed Yes | 1c | 13,524$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 10,001$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 10.7%8 W · 67 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5325…52bdbacked Yes | 4c | 9,371$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…10bfbacked Yes | 4c | 8,316$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…a90fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…fa12backed Yes | 1c | 7,132$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…55e0backed Yes | 1c | 7,090$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…6cf8backed Yes | 1c | 7,090$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 1c | 6,764$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 6,389$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…ebe1backed Yes | 1c | 6,194$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…eb17backed Yes | 1c | 5,529$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…1526backed Yes | 2c | 5,281$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af2…0989backed Yes | 3c | 5,270$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…48d1backed Yes | 6c | 5,065$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…a95cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 3c | 4,976$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 4,388$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Yes | 1c | 4,308$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 3c | 4,058$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…874ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,968$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…3cbebacked Yes | 1c | 3,857$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…d680backed Yes | 2c | 3,676$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf999…7983backed Yes | 4c | 3,629$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ba…648abacked Yes | 1c | 3,625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…1d16backed Yes | 6c | 3,550$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…52c2backed Yes | 6c | 3,400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05b…9991backed Yes | 12c | 3,228$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…9522backed Yes | 1c | 3,125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 76 | 11.8%9 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67aa…b88cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…9b8ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…26bebacked Yes | 6c | 2,866$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534a…1fb5backed Yes | 3c | 2,762$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x171d…5976backed Yes | 1c | 2,453$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…022cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,453$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…d27bbacked Yes | 0c | 2,211$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…e4b3backed Yes | 8c | 2,098$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,947$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…d753backed Yes | 1c | 1,939$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 3c | 1,793$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,758$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…5d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,746$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 1,675$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -93.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x531c…d8a7backed Yes | 1c | 1,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…954bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,659$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,556$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39e…97d9backed Yes | 9c | 1,540$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 2c | 1,406$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 2c | 1,241$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…47c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…d229backed Yes | 2c | 1,113$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Yes | 3c | 1,051$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa31…5cc1backed Yes | 5c | 1,021$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…19bbbacked Yes | 2c | 1,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d7…945ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…11d7backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…b913backed Yes | 1c | 869.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 5c | 810.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…a69ebacked Yes | 3c | 743.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…aaf0backed Yes | 6c | 714.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ea…6a6fbacked Yes | 7c | 712.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…cd16backed Yes | 3c | 638.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…8289backed Yes | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -82%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 6c | 531$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 3c | 516.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…24cabacked Yes | 5c | 510.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c3…ef66backed Yes | 2c | 508.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed Yes | 7c | 503$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131d…1bb7backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…1a54backed Yes | 6c | 442.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37f…e967backed Yes | 3c | 441.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e2…7cddbacked Yes | 5c | 348.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Yes | 6c | 322.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1e…cfffbacked Yes | 3c | 318.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…cc1dbacked Yes | 6c | 317.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 5c | 310$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8af9…c3e8backed Yes | 8c | 271.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…8fc8backed Yes | 6c | 242.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0961…0973backed Yes | 10c | 192.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…e601backed Yes | 10c | 134.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa67…439cbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes won
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.