TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c29,658$18,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,249.571,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c22,914$8,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,679.231,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Under1c17,765$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.952119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over61c5,085$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c3,804$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.4762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Under39c3,374$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Under40c2,136$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over56c1,857$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.0771140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Over62c1,697$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over51c1,018$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.367352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over36c825.01$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.012040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over63c795.13$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under38c766.96$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-47.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Under41c731.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c691.49$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under40c621.2$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over60c621.2$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4823151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under16c530.92$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3733938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over62c502.74$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Under40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c438.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.245729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over43c432.37$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.433167.7%21 W · 10 L+7.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+70.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under48c431.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.6914247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over22c409.09$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.091435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over62c339.84$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.027869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over75c338.69$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.161776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Over61c332.79$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.796100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Under7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.998046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over49c287.41$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.736842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over61c257$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…f6e6backed Under80c250.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf268…1763backed Over49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb85e…e18dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Over63c222.7$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.41643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c211$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20f…f5c7backed Under59c204.83$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over40c203.11$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.472937.9%11 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under20c202$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.753351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6b8…3539backed Under39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf873…f644backed Under62c194.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.091258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over39c191$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.745750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked Over36c181.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.28875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+74.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over62c177.42$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over56c170.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under38c169.35$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Under61c164.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Under39c160.29$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.512626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Over63c159.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under38c153$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1412050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over62c150$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6a44backed Under70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c145.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3711044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under64c144.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1512343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Under74c139.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.612236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under73c137.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4118360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over29c126.12$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.122642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over62c115.63$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.941968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under39c108.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2726550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over38c101.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.318856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under52c94.41$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over51c82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.567755.8%43 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972450%12 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f5…8797backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.653046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over62c80.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.362548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under35c76.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-74.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under39c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.646926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over61c73.55$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over22c73.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.187540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd697…661dbacked Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5d…20c8backed Over57c68.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6460…84efbacked Under40c67.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef8…d22cbacked Under80c64.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-57.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Over40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57735.1%27 W · 50 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa137…564bbacked Over62c59.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Over27c59.33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.31560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+103.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Under59c59.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over28c57.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.146248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9d…06b0backed Under79c56.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over35c56.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.76728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.551741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over62c53.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Under73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.026762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick47cpaid+78.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over34c46.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.541833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under60c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.216242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.