Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f41efcda5a1be2fd8aed42d840ff2e1de67234f342a913637d522e7063f239
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 41c | 3,308$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.41 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.96 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,142$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.95 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 41c | 1,565$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.07 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 40c | 1,306$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 40c | 1,137$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.98 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 60c | 1,082$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Yes | 59c | 1,030$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 49c | 995.3$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 661.33$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…d977backed No | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 61c | 357.38$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 60c | 335$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 65c | 307.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Yes | 60c | 292$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 32c | 251$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +213.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…6431backed Yes | 61c | 246.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 41c | 235.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 232.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 61c | 196.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 59c | 195.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 60c | 172.82$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 42c | 168.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…6e0dbacked Yes | 60c | 166.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 60c | 141.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…05bcbacked Yes | 60c | 82.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Yes | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes | 61c | 65.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 56c | 62.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 48c | 56.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 58c | 51.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…475fbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3490backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 42c | 46.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…f56fbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed No | 48c | 40.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 52c | 39.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 59c | 36.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 34.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…703ebacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…4aa8backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 43c | 32.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed No | 41c | 25.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked No | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 59c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…e8ccbacked Yes | 70c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Yes | 60c | 17.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…c4adbacked Yes | 61c | 16.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.