Ligue 1 · resolved market
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x215ff098efda5996f5b5726197538c85a2a4e917dec1828826c7b4a2cbd3cf3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 8,061$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.29 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 54c | 3,180$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 19c | 3,115$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.93 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 2,093$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.27 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 1,263$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.55 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 46c | 1,000$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 19c | 795$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Over | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 79c | 658.94$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 18c | 605$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.85 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 66c | 391.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 59c | 359.08$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.58 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 18c | 351.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…9127backed Over | 62c | 342.79$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 29c | 239.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 36c | 225$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 35c | 209.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…1763backed Over | 40c | 180.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…ce19backed Under | 47c | 165.66$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Under | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 158.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 158.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.51 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 157.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 18c | 153$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Over | 77c | 147.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…a7c8backed Over | 33c | 139.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 55c | 133.45$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over | 61c | 131.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 18c | 129.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef8…d22cbacked Over | 79c | 115.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 110.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df8…475cbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 70cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 54c | 85.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…08c2backed Over | 75c | 80.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 62c | 77.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 59c | 74.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Over | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 43c | 67.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 66.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…4be1backed Over | 63c | 64.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 36c | 59.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 37c | 54.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 71c | 53.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 53.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 65c | 49.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 74c | 48.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…fc48backed Under | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 57c | 43.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…f7f9backed Over | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…667ebacked Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 51c | 40.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 50c | 39.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 58c | 33.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Over | 68c | 32.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…ed92backed Under | 76c | 31.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Under | 61c | 23.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…be67backed Over | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 51c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)FC Lorient won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.