Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcca3386447df674449ffa07fba74a12c16da200d0f56cd11baf4be4572f5e9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Lorientof AS Monaco FC, FC Lorient
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe916…4563backed FC Lorient | 65c | 9,769$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed AS Monaco FC | 35c | 9,753$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.71 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Lorient | 64c | 5,727$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.48 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Lorient | 71c | 3,461$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Lorient | 62c | 3,149$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.74 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed AS Monaco FC | 26c | 2,265$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.71 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed AS Monaco FC | 35c | 858$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed FC Lorient | 74c | 444.38$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked FC Lorient | 66c | 363.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 338.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed AS Monaco FC | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked FC Lorient | 78c | 292.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 286.75$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed AS Monaco FC | 35c | 275.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed AS Monaco FC | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed FC Lorient | 68c | 189.1$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed AS Monaco FC | 21c | 161.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed AS Monaco FC | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked AS Monaco FC | 38c | 132.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 107.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked FC Lorient | 66c | 102.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked AS Monaco FC | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed AS Monaco FC | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed AS Monaco FC | 38c | 98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed AS Monaco FC | 35c | 87.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 310 | 49.4%153 W · 157 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed AS Monaco FC | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 70.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…d189backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed AS Monaco FC | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed FC Lorient | 61c | 64.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked AS Monaco FC | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed FC Lorient | 65c | 60.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked FC Lorient | 65c | 57.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…ce19backed FC Lorient | 66c | 55.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f8e3backed AS Monaco FC | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed FC Lorient | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 61cpaid | +56%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…9992backed FC Lorient | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked FC Lorient | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…01f5backed FC Lorient | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked AS Monaco FC | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed AS Monaco FC | 27c | 40.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed FC Lorient | 66c | 39.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked FC Lorient | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 37.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked AS Monaco FC | 31c | 36.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed AS Monaco FC | 29c | 36.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6350…ae47backed AS Monaco FC | 37c | 36.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe70…33f9backed AS Monaco FC | 37c | 34.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked FC Lorient | 65c | 33.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed FC Lorient | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed FC Lorient | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…0f30backed FC Lorient | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked FC Lorient | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cb…1dc1backed AS Monaco FC | 38c | 28.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked AS Monaco FC | 36c | 28.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…db3abacked FC Lorient | 64c | 23.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed FC Lorient | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed FC Lorient | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked FC Lorient | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…b6cbbacked FC Lorient | 64c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…520ebacked FC Lorient | 64c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed FC Lorient | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…dc38backed FC Lorient | 65c | 16.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…4dcbbacked FC Lorient | 64c | 16.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…d70abacked FC Lorient | 65c | 16.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513a…7951backed FC Lorient | 64c | 15.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e8…f566backed FC Lorient | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…102ebacked FC Lorient | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)this page
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.