TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under72c6,555$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,719.61258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick74cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.983537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked Over38c2,684$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.11475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over28c2,523$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.631,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c2,395$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.141,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under61c2,284$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.7531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under73c2,221$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.412268.2%15 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under62c2,035$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.95942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Over39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.9917329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over23c1,253$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over36c907.93$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.782626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Under66c750$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Under63c719.62$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over37c700$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4384362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over37c611.78$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.426141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over52c460.43$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.491776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+63.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under74c405.51$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over37c396.48$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over32c312$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.167352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over37c299.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.996926.1%18 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over40c299.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.581145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under61c281.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.816157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.413852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c238$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.726346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under33c230$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.23351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over17c184.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0512343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over15c163.14$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2459348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over38c159.4$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8327244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under61c158.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2823151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6a44backed Under65c150$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under61c124.49$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9426550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over32c123$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.645750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under62c111$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.82850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x553e…5526backed Over37c105.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under61c100.52$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.648942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Under64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-58.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+57.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over38c99.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.634742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1f…b254backed Under67c79.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under61c69.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7914247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over32c61.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.168856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over26c60$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcec…13cabacked Under61c59.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8211044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Over31c58.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.061827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa137…564bbacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under61c49.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.248355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over24c44.89$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.992040%8 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079e…fef9backed Over40c37.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fed…87bfbacked Over39c37.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2883…9e14backed Over39c37.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…c08cbacked Over40c37.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over38c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9546450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…505dbacked Over39c36.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1e…5bdfbacked Over39c34.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x753f…d672backed Over39c34.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+57.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae8…745bbacked Over39c34.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b4…dc56backed Over39c34.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3548…b7c0backed Over39c32.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f38…c357backed Over39c32.72$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Under62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-69.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52e1…b491backed Over39c31.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.56100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa840…63a4backed Over39c31.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebfa…a293backed Over39c31.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c16…8f87backed Over39c31.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x277b…2baabacked Over39c31.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+50.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bdf…c524backed Over39c29.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.164100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+151.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0abf…056dbacked Under35c29.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over65c29.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.273167.7%21 W · 10 L+7.5wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+70.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xeecc…5cacbacked Over39c28.49$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…101abacked Over40c27.65$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.59944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c5e…8919backed Over39c27.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a98…13cabacked Over39c26.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ad…5a42backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb8c…465bbacked Under62c23.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a61…0f10backed Under63c23.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e3…6a57backed Under63c23.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.75785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+71.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4030…8b5ebacked Under63c22.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe199…3967backed Under63c22.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c46…fcd6backed Under63c22.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.35862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa038…6201backed Under62c22.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.121040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5949…c8f3backed Under63c22.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ab…3182backed Under63c22.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183d…5814backed Under63c22.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x263e…2976backed Under62c22.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcee…efd3backed Under63c22.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817f…b97cbacked Under62c22.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.68850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa895…5548backed Under63c21.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0504…8f32backed Under63c21.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.491030%3 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick59cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bcc…ec3cbacked Under63c20.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76ad…c852backed Under63c20.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under62c20.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.732737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x298b…eafbbacked Under62c20.61$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.78560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.