CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs illwill (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcd79cb96e010c15db16579a2e06b492647e061c33557e5f0beca93c459f9ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof BASEMENT BOYS, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 66c | 18,206$12,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,135.15 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 8,109$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,802.88 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 3,344$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.26 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 2,359$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 1,310$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…3275backed BASEMENT BOYS | 46c | 1,130$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 980$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 947.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.48 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…cf4bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 694.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…accbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 28c | 637.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 365.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 80c | 272.34$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked illwill | 63c | 261.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked illwill | 54c | 259.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed BASEMENT BOYS | 18c | 235.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6957…44e3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 232.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 9c | 231.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 225.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed illwill | 70c | 204.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed BASEMENT BOYS | 31c | 200.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…cd5abacked illwill | 71c | 160.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed illwill | 80c | 144.2$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd75…1d27backed BASEMENT BOYS | 26c | 135.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…d732backed illwill | 76c | 132.83$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c1…0c75backed BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 127.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5103…fa33backed BASEMENT BOYS | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 111.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed BASEMENT BOYS | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…2209backed BASEMENT BOYS | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed illwill | 59c | 96.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BASEMENT BOYS | 23c | 91.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked illwill | 79c | 87$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f2…2407backed BASEMENT BOYS | 17c | 82.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed illwill | 78c | 80.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfd…2f8ebacked illwill | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 77.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked illwill | 63c | 77.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…1d2abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 20c | 74.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…e6d4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 29c | 68.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed BASEMENT BOYS | 30c | 67.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…685dbacked illwill | 72c | 59.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed illwill | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked illwill | 79c | 55.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…8d1bbacked illwill | 67c | 41.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…6bbebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…8fbabacked illwill | 71c | 36.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked illwill | 67c | 33.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…635abacked illwill | 71c | 31.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked illwill | 80c | 21.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed illwill | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…bc8cbacked illwill | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…bff8backed illwill | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked illwill | 76c | 14.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs illwill (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs illwill - Map 1 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs illwill - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.