Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0c88869e6b218805a0e7aab1a389c85a4b1ea28ae4e43c263970e1b099f10e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TCU Horned Frogsof Oklahoma State Cowboys, TCU Horned Frogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef6…c371backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0c | 3,820$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 75c | 3,526$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.81 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…a105backed TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 2,919$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 2,554$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.42 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 2,050$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.5 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 1,919$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.63 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 1,551$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.82 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed TCU Horned Frogs | 62c | 1,491$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.97 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 1,362$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 1,221$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.37 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 71c | 1,122$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.77 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 1,000$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 51c | 746.08$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.29 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 683.56$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.09 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 642.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 24c | 540.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed TCU Horned Frogs | 11c | 520.42$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.38 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 77c | 511.56$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.67 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…013bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 54c | 450.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 41c | 355.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 40c | 345.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 21c | 338.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…50c6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 55c | 312.7$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.8 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 24c | 300$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 25c | 263.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 253.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 47c | 252.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 231$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 72c | 222.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed TCU Horned Frogs | 31c | 205.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 61c | 195.48$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…5b82backed TCU Horned Frogs | 32c | 189.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 13c | 162.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.87 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 35c | 141.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed TCU Horned Frogs | 49c | 135.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 37c | 132.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 9c | 118$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 14c | 104.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 65c | 88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 35c | 68.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 55.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked TCU Horned Frogs | 21c | 53.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 53c | 51.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 36.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 49 | 87.8%43 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 77cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 37c | 35.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 70c | 32.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed TCU Horned Frogs | 59c | 28.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…6ba4backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 27.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TCU Horned Frogs | 78c | 27.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 71c | 27.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe213…e4aabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys | 73c | 27.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked TCU Horned Frogs | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 75c | 24.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 63c | 22.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70eb…635abacked TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 78c | 15.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…9055backed Oklahoma State Cowboys | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed TCU Horned Frogs | 77c | 13.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed TCU Horned Frogs | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogsthis page
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 161.5Under won
- Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. TCU Horned Frogs: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-8.5)Oklahoma State Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.