CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d90e06ffd92d694525be3a0b01120f0ad126c7194a58b6932ddae6776e5b946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 27,557$20,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,286.67 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Heroic | 26c | 18,185$4,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,457.06 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 15,301$11,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,275.5 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heroic | 27c | 10,035$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,325.52 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 7,231$5,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474.68 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Heroic | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Heroic | 25c | 5,769$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.73 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 3,250$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Heroic | 14c | 3,025$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.75 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Heroic | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Heroic | 26c | 2,470$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.11 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 13c | 2,393$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.01 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,180$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.83 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 2,072$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.27 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 36c | 2,016$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.84 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,011$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.59 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Heroic | 9c | 1,987$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.78 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 30c | 1,958$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.53 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic | 16c | 1,789$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.2 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Heroic | 20c | 1,715$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.47 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,666$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.93 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heroic | 46c | 1,549$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.24 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 27c | 1,531$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.73 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 29c | 1,507$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.8 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Heroic | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 1,299$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.25 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 1,262$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.01 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heroic | 26c | 1,192$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.08 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 39c | 1,132$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.28 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Heroic | 32c | 1,065$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.82 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…0cb9backed Heroic | 10c | 1,030$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heroic | 25c | 954.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.4 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 827.78$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.28 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Heroic | 8c | 815.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.64 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…eaf3backed Heroic | 26c | 800$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Heroic | 36c | 784.5$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.08 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 722.76$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Heroic | 27c | 700$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Heroic | 36c | 686$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.04 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Heroic | 37c | 679.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.82 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Heroic | 28c | 650$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.11 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Heroic | 26c | 550.03$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.02 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 540.4$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 534.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.14 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Heroic | 28c | 500$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Heroic | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 459.52$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.09 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heroic | 19c | 414.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.66 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Heroic | 13c | 393.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.13 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Heroic | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…672dbacked Heroic | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 369$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 24c | 347.39$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.02 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Heroic | 18c | 338.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 295.38$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Heroic | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 258$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Heroic | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Heroic | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Heroic | 28c | 202.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 199.79$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.59 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Heroic | 35c | 197.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Heroic | 11c | 192.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Heroic | 26c | 192.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Heroic | 39c | 177.63$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.63 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Heroic | 11c | 170.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heroic | 26c | 162$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Heroic | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 148.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…d8e0backed Natus Vincere | 75c | 146.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 143.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed Heroic | 28c | 140.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.48 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…6c1dbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 132.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -7.9wins | -0.36per pick | 68cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 130$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Heroic | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked Heroic | 20c | 119.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Heroic | 27c | 117.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 116.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.67 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619f…fc43backed Heroic | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…4d8cbacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Heroic | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Heroic | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Heroic | 31c | 93.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 68.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…88aebacked Heroic | 26c | 66.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 65.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked Heroic | 31c | 65.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Heroic | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…0068backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 41.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Heroic | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Heroic | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Heroic | 46c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.