CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfea5d02f074087f30cb46cdf7458546d6baaf22b43b6d696c915007a91c6941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Spirit | 44c | 15,016$6,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,607.24 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Spirit | 30c | 11,110$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.54 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Falcons | 55c | 9,134$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110.67 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Team Falcons | 80c | 8,213$6,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Team Falcons | 55c | 7,769$4,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,495.9 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 7,106$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.94 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Spirit | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 6,249$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.88 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Spirit | 44c | 5,924$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.7 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons | 56c | 5,350$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Spirit | 44c | 5,052$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Spirit | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Team Falcons | 56c | 3,827$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Falcons | 57c | 3,065$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.11 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,048$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.13 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Spirit | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons | 79c | 2,706$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.3 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Falcons | 56c | 2,118$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.23 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed Spirit | 41c | 1,961$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Team Falcons | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 26c | 1,792$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.97 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 1,750$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Spirit | 19c | 1,750$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…4708backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,426$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 22c | 1,356$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.98 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Spirit | 49c | 1,355$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.12 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spirit | 31c | 1,245$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.26 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Spirit | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Spirit | 44c | 1,145$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed Spirit | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b9…045abacked Spirit | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Spirit | 44c | 1,000$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.62 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Spirit | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 56c | 989.85$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.21 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Spirit | 13c | 947.85$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 27c | 907.87$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.07 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Spirit | 22c | 882.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.1 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Spirit | 45c | 862$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.9 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 78c | 827.82$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Spirit | 30c | 806.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.93 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Spirit | 44c | 799.98$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 46c | 700$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 688$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spirit | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Spirit | 21c | 632.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Spirit | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed Team Falcons | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Spirit | 16c | 570.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Spirit | 25c | 569.16$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Team Falcons | 56c | 535.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.8 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 528.73$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc31…133cbacked Spirit | 19c | 527.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…42fabacked Spirit | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Spirit | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…1e3ebacked Spirit | 10c | 486.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Spirit | 15c | 455.27$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Team Falcons | 77c | 448.2$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.27 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Spirit | 42c | 431.03$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed Spirit | 35c | 430$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons | 67c | 405$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Team Falcons | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed Spirit | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Spirit | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 33c | 365.42$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.29 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Team Falcons | 59c | 340.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Spirit | 43c | 339.87$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.15 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Spirit | 43c | 337.86$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Falcons | 57c | 325$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…f424backed Spirit | 22c | 316.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons | 63c | 315.79$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Falcons | 55c | 310.86$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Spirit | 43c | 298.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Spirit | 43c | 284.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.21 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcd…4514backed Spirit | 31c | 261.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 259.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…4bb8backed Team Falcons | 79c | 252.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Spirit | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked Team Falcons | 56c | 231.86$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Spirit | 13c | 228.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Team Falcons | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 208.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spirit | 21c | 207.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Spirit | 42c | 200.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Spirit | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Team Falcons | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 198$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…7123backed Spirit | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed Spirit | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Falcons | 57c | 174.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Team Falcons | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 165.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…8d5fbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 163.64$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Spirit | 20c | 161.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208f…ec77backed Team Falcons | 75c | 154.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Team Falcons | 56c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.