CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25cdca2ee605f1eb49fb6dbc5cb8a428cc1c3fbd8330074f758dab086f62edc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Spirit | 78c | 17,099$13,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,326.84 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Falcons | 59c | 15,225$8,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,304.26 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9e…be96backed Spirit | 36c | 6,268$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Team Falcons | 34c | 4,195$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.52 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed Spirit | 33c | 2,983$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 2,601$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.15 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Falcons | 53c | 2,500$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.23 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Team Falcons | 54c | 2,224$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.04 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Spirit | 41c | 2,122$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.24 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,986$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.89 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,512$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 1,464$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.92 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Spirit | 40c | 1,400$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Team Falcons | 62c | 1,320$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.77 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 24c | 1,012$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 37c | 990.49$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Spirit | 32c | 940.12$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed Team Falcons | 66c | 890.96$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.61 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Team Falcons | 75c | 858.33$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 615.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Team Falcons | 59c | 599.98$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.99 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Spirit | 41c | 591.37$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.46 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 549.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Spirit | 42c | 444$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…0cb9backed Spirit | 79c | 425.45$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Spirit | 32c | 394.33$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Spirit | 41c | 388$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 50c | 369$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 300.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Falcons | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 254.61$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.24 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Spirit | 34c | 230$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…2215backed Spirit | 46c | 218.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Team Falcons | 60c | 166.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Spirit | 63c | 157.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Spirit | 58c | 154$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Team Falcons | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Spirit | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked Spirit | 41c | 70.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Team Falcons | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…9517backed Team Falcons | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…ec59backed Team Falcons | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Falcons | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Team Falcons | 50c | 55.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…d9febacked Spirit | 54c | 54.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed Team Falcons | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked Spirit | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Falcons | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked Team Falcons | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Spirit | 54c | 36.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 35.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…36e5backed Team Falcons | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…90eebacked Spirit | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…5829backed Team Falcons | 68c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Team Falcons | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.