CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa302db0c996c0567c537c49c3bec20506bef85448a4e21051e803e7d826b101a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 19c | 3,250$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 19c | 2,072$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.41 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Team Falcons | 50c | 2,009$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Spirit | 1c | 1,850$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 50c | 1,668$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Spirit | 31c | 1,619$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spirit | 12c | 1,090$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Spirit | 47c | 813.84$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.1 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Falcons | 56c | 800$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Spirit | 49c | 651.74$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Spirit | 23c | 650.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…0cb9backed Spirit | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Spirit | 56c | 575.42$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.24 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Falcons | 75c | 451.27$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Falcons | 54c | 447.03$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…4895backed Spirit | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Spirit | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit | 32c | 360.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Spirit | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…f424backed Spirit | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Spirit | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Team Falcons | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Spirit | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01a…4bb8backed Spirit | 23c | 162.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Spirit | 12c | 150.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…2215backed Spirit | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…99c7backed Spirit | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 67.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Spirit | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…53a4backed Team Falcons | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…a2b7backed Team Falcons | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.