CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be9d6dc071e04ae3ff9ece3002c6369c35b2c03d0659228c7c3a47c240883ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Astralis, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Astralis | 54c | 9,733$5,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,286.32 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Team Falcons | 53c | 8,347$4,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908.76 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,767$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.33 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Astralis | 39c | 1,498$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.24 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Astralis | 54c | 1,153$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Team Falcons | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Team Falcons | 52c | 850$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.36 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Team Falcons | 48c | 445.08$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 23c | 431.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Astralis | 43c | 422.36$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Astralis | 46c | 378.47$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.72 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 50c | 340$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Team Falcons | 50c | 263.8$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.3 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Falcons | 71c | 243.69$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…cd60backed Team Falcons | 55c | 220.22$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Astralis | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Astralis | 49c | 184.17$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c8…9751backed Team Falcons | 56c | 182.9$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…7809backed Team Falcons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Team Falcons | 62c | 160.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed Team Falcons | 65c | 153.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Astralis | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed Astralis | 35c | 135.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Astralis | 40c | 117.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 109.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Astralis | 24c | 106.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f0dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Astralis | 19c | 94.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Team Falcons | 54c | 85.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed Team Falcons | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Falcons | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 77.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Team Falcons | 54c | 73.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 71.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Astralis | 52c | 67.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Team Falcons | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Falcons | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Team Falcons | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Astralis | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…58a2backed Team Falcons | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Falcons | 56c | 37.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Astralis | 53c | 35.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Team Falcons | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe41e…1bb1backed Team Falcons | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Team Falcons | 60c | 26.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…c4b4backed Team Falcons | 55c | 24.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…d4ecbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 21.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…b394backed Team Falcons | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team Falcons | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.