CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f8c8d97bb03dd4ab1a302848c3378aa11eae7bc91abcd1d6364e3f11c93fc53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Astralis, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Astralis | 9c | 1,446$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.14 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Astralis | 14c | 1,375$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Astralis | 14c | 715.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 80c | 430.67$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed Astralis | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f0dbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 295.19$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…0b7bbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 283.75$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Astralis | 25c | 246.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Astralis | 20c | 202.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Astralis | 10c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Astralis | 15c | 180.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked Astralis | 23c | 175.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…215fbacked Astralis | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Astralis | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Team Falcons | 80c | 96.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Team Falcons | 80c | 42.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 24.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Team Falcons | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.