CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b402fbc1253faeb6417ddf754a3cfdcdcc613af6025c13e9e5492be9e088f1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof TYLOO, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TYLOO | 42c | 2,500$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.25 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked paiN | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TYLOO | 30c | 1,458$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.49 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 3c | 989.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked paiN | 57c | 850.88$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.88 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO | 22c | 837.68$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.21 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TYLOO | 50c | 667.79$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed paiN | 61c | 444$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked paiN | 50c | 401.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.18 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed paiN | 68c | 217.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TYLOO | 61c | 209$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed paiN | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked paiN | 52c | 193.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed TYLOO | 11c | 154.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed paiN | 65c | 145.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed TYLOO | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked paiN | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…b394backed TYLOO | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked TYLOO | 55c | 80.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked paiN | 55c | 79.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed TYLOO | 62c | 43.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…0d76backed TYLOO | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc2…9c0dbacked TYLOO | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 37.3%47 W · 79 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)paiN won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.