CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26ecba64018acd47a1111322acdc9ad49e8263962364f29bfa4c2f0f4d21b908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof TYLOO, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd116…be32backed TYLOO | 48c | 4,510$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed paiN | 73c | 3,388$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.95 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked paiN | 60c | 3,340$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.13 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed paiN | 47c | 1,990$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed paiN | 77c | 1,971$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.44 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed TYLOO | 45c | 1,881$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.39 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TYLOO | 41c | 1,810$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.01 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed paiN | 55c | 1,807$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.14 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TYLOO | 27c | 1,751$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.77 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed paiN | 53c | 1,308$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.55 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked TYLOO | 47c | 1,304$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.63 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TYLOO | 6c | 1,211$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TYLOO | 40c | 1,203$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.92 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed TYLOO | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked TYLOO | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked TYLOO | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed TYLOO | 48c | 900$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.49 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed paiN | 66c | 792.71$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked TYLOO | 47c | 699.45$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.74 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed paiN | 57c | 641.36$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.8 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed TYLOO | 47c | 631.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.95 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked paiN | 52c | 591.91$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed paiN | 52c | 555.54$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed paiN | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked TYLOO | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed paiN | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked paiN | 55c | 495$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…f91bbacked paiN | 61c | 480$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed paiN | 55c | 475$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked TYLOO | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed paiN | 57c | 378$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed paiN | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed paiN | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed paiN | 53c | 332$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed paiN | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed paiN | 65c | 244.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed TYLOO | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed paiN | 54c | 209.02$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked TYLOO | 49c | 206.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed TYLOO | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked TYLOO | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TYLOO | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed paiN | 55c | 189.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN | 72c | 188.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed paiN | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed paiN | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked TYLOO | 55c | 139.29$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked paiN | 55c | 135.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked TYLOO | 45c | 111.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed paiN | 57c | 104.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed paiN | 51c | 100.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed paiN | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked paiN | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed TYLOO | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed TYLOO | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8054…ce9bbacked TYLOO | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TYLOO | 45c | 99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed TYLOO | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…baa4backed paiN | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed paiN | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed TYLOO | 42c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked paiN | 76c | 62.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed paiN | 73c | 61.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed TYLOO | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed paiN | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed paiN | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed TYLOO | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked TYLOO | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TYLOO | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TYLOO | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed paiN | 57c | 38.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb819…cc67backed paiN | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 241 | 55.6%134 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed paiN | 55c | 32.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b5…49d5backed paiN | 55c | 25.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN | 61c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed paiN | 55c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed paiN | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked paiN | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed paiN | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerpaiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.