CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdfeb963a62ad8211b82dfe5b6c51277f42ee0217c8b8130ec7d51c6c74828d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed G2 | 25c | 25,222$6,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,305.5 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked G2 | 21c | 20,010$4,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,148.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed G2 | 23c | 13,072$3,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.94 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed G2 | 4c | 10,500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked G2 | 13c | 6,129$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.28 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed G2 | 5c | 5,629$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.43 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Vitality | 80c | 4,771$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.15 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed G2 | 14c | 4,000$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.48 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked G2 | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…5ac7backed G2 | 17c | 2,653$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…12c3backed Vitality | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed G2 | 12c | 2,580$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked G2 | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked G2 | 18c | 1,844$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.99 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed G2 | 3c | 1,805$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed G2 | 20c | 1,666$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.13 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed G2 | 1c | 1,606$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed G2 | 14c | 1,565$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Vitality | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed G2 | 11c | 1,241$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.78 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 | 10c | 1,116$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Vitality | 79c | 878.29$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.29 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed G2 | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed G2 | 12c | 700$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed G2 | 15c | 670$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed G2 | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked G2 | 9c | 499.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 | 12c | 496$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked G2 | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed G2 | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed G2 | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed G2 | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Vitality | 80c | 137.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…b394backed G2 | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed G2 | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked G2 | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…044bbacked G2 | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87a…82f7backed G2 | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked G2 | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked G2 | 13c | 96.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Vitality | 75c | 93.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Vitality | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed G2 | 20c | 75.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Vitality | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Vitality | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Vitality | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Vitality | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.