CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9639a53adcec261e7b66f8c0143c67f70386784010b6158dabeae365e155050f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of G2, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed G2 | 78c | 2,532$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.03 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…beebbacked Virtus.pro | 13c | 1,636$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 1,549$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.09 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked G2 | 76c | 1,509$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.43 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 1,395$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.33 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,153$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.09 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked G2 | 80c | 615.16$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed G2 | 68c | 481.79$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 431.23$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f0dbacked G2 | 75c | 400.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 286.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 263.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 256.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…5c00backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 175.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 156.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…672dbacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 135.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked Virtus.pro | 25c | 80.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 69.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed G2 | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 49.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 49.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…b394backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…99c7backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed G2 | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.