CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e993912f421c067254aff6b849ba15c903bab81a12262a57f9cbb176131375f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof G2, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed G2 | 41c | 12,084$4,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,917.97 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 4,897$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.04 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed G2 | 46c | 4,674$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.76 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed G2 | 42c | 4,610$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.82 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed G2 | 68c | 3,500$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,363.55 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed G2 | 54c | 2,523$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.41 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 2,230$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.1 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 1,497$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.72 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 1,323$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.51 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked G2 | 40c | 1,273$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.1 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d7…126cbacked G2 | 53c | 725.45$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.35 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 525.46$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.46 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…db7abacked G2 | 35c | 299.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 273$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.77 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 225.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…5f0dbacked G2 | 65c | 185$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…672dbacked G2 | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked G2 | 38c | 135.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 114.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.14 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 112$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 108.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.41 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…4893backed G2 | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…6e9dbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 82.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked G2 | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed G2 | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed G2 | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed G2 | 65c | 60.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed G2 | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…a2b7backed G2 | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a3…b394backed G2 | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed G2 | 45c | 34.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked G2 | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…859dbacked G2 | 57c | 26.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…1e66backed G2 | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro (BO3)G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.